Polls Say FN Set for Provincial Wins

France’s Front National is set for its biggest electoral breakthrough yet and stands to take the premierships of at least two large provinces in France early in December, according to a new Ipsos opinion poll.

The surge in support for the anti-invasion, and anti-European Union (EU) party is the result of a carefully planned years-long program by party leader Marine le Pen to reshape the party, and the inevitable European backlash against the Angela Merkel-generated mass nonwhite invasion by refugee-terrorists.

The two leading contests will take place in the northern Nord-Pas-de-Calais and the southern Provence-Alpes-Cote-d’Azur regions, being contested by Marine le Pen and her young niece, Marion Maréchal Le Pen, respectively.

marine-le-pen-poster

While an FN victory in Nord-Pas-de-Calais has been predicted by polls since September—with the elder Le Pen holding a commanding lead over her rivals—the Provence-Alpes-Cote-d’Azur has been on knife-edge, with some polls giving a slight lead to the Nikolas Sarkozy created “conservative” alliance.

However, following the refugee-terrorist outrages in Paris, support for the FN everywhere in France has rocketed, and the opinion poll conducted just after the November 13 Paris attacks has put the younger Le Pen well in the lead to win the presidency of Provence-Alpes-Cote-d’Azur as well.

marion-marechal-le-pen

According to the poll, conducted from November 19 to 21, Miss Le Pen, granddaughter of party founder Jean-Marie Le Pen and also the youngest sitting member of the French parliament, will get at least 40 percent of the ballot in a first round of the vote.

Second place, says the poll, will go to the Republicans, with 30 percent, and third place to the Socialists with 16 percent.

All of the other candidates, seven in total, will together poll 14 percent, with six of them polling between 0.5 and 2 percent, and one polling 8 percent.

Diapositive 1





All elections at this level in France go to a second round of voting if no one candidate gets more than 50 percent in the first round. The second round of voting only takes place between candidates who won more than 10 percent of the vote in the first round. This second round is won by whoever polls the most votes, irrespective of whether they make the 50 percent mark.

According to the Ipsos poll, a second round would give Miss Le Pen 41 percent of the vote, with the conservative total increasing to 34 percent, and the socialists increasing to 25 percent.

Diapositive 1

Thus the only way that she could be potentially defeated would be if either the socialist or the conservative candidate withdrew and urged his voters to vote for the single remaining opponent.

While such a conservative-socialist alliance is more than theoretically possible, it is by no means guaranteed. Furthermore, given the current political climate, many conservatives are likely to switch to the FN than to the socialists. Thus even joining together will not guarantee the establishment parties of victory against the FN.

The FN won 11 municipalities in elections last year, and topped the poll in the 2014 European elections, wining 4.7 million votes to the conservatives’ 3.9 million, and the socialists 2.6 million. It recently also took two seats in the French senate, elected by a complicated electoral college vote.

“We’re advancing step by step; we’re building credibility… this is reassuring French citizens and breaks the ‘fear argument’ that people use against us,” Miss Le Pen recently told Reuters.

“We know that in this election the National Front plays double-or-quits,” she said. “Any FN region will be scrutinized, monitored.”

For the FN to win a provincial premiership will give the party a real boost after attempts to run towns in the 1990s ran into legal trouble when some of the towns passed laws favoring French citizens over foreigners for social housing benefits.

As Miss Le Pen told Reuters: “We will absolutely respect the law until we are in government at the national level and can change it.”


Recommended For You

4 Comments

  1. Keep fighting France, this mass invaision of Europe by third world immigrant Muslim parasites must be stopped if Europe and her people are to survive. Britain is suffering too thanks to our leader U Turn Cameron who hates his own people and has openly stated that their are too many white faces in Britain. He has also said that he hopes there will soon be a Muslim Prime Minister in Westminster. In your dreams you traitor, we intend to boot you out from power. and replace you with UKIP and Nigel Farage. First though we will be voting OUT from the vile, corrupt bullying EU, the sooner the better too as far as I am concerned. Only today we have learned that yet again our insane leader is increasing foreign aid spending, some of it going to nations that have their own space programme and do not need handouts. Our own people in total contrast continue to suffer on going cuts to our vital services and welfare that we have worked hard and paid into from our taxes for decades. Charity should begin and end at home, our own people should come first, but they always come last, in favour of leeching immigrant parasites who are given priority over everything, housing, schools, welfare, etc etc Our ex-servicemen are homeless forced to sleep rough on the streets as housing is given to immigrant families first. Our elderly people are forced to choose between eating, and heating their homes, their pension does not allow them to do both, which is disgraceful after all the years they have paid into it. Poor, disabled and disadvantaged British people, often through no fault of their own are now dependant on food banks just to survive, and young children from the poorest families often turn up at school hungry as their parents cannot afford to give them breakfast. If they are lucky they may be given breakfast by the school, dipping into its education budget to feed them.
    This is not made up, its all true, Britain is failing its own people, yet our traitor of a leader is still hell bent on handing out all manner of aid and welfare to third world scrounging parasites from all over Africa, Middle East and Asia. We are giving away billions, and at the same time taking in ever increasing numbers of welfare dependant freeloaders, who will be dependant for life too as most of them are illiterate and totally uneducated. To make matters far worse even the 20,000 Syrians our government has decided to take in over the next five years are all disadvantaged in one way or another. Most will not be able to support themselves ever, yet our government dispises its own disabled, elderly snd disadvantaged people so much that it lables them as scroungers, and some have committed suicide after having their welfare benefits stopped, totally disgusting.

    Please don’t come to Britain if you are an economic immigrant in search of a better life. Remember if you do, the welfare and social housing that our government feels obliged to pay you, will in turn deprive one of our own people. Britain has a deficit of 1.7 trillion and rising, we are not the wealthy nation you have been led to believe. Everytime you as a foreign immigrant invade our tiny Island, you will be depriving one of our own people and may even be the cause of their total demise.

  2. I’m originally from Scotland now living in SA and you can see the way SA has gone downhill since 1994. Europe will be the same not to mention USA if they do not stem the flow of immigrants both Europe and The USA will go downhill just like SA did. I’v heard on Sky news that most government institutions are cash strapped eg Welfare/Education. These 2 fishy people Sturgeon/Salmon that are running Scotland into the ground and should be removed forthwith they give Scotland politics a bad name and are not true scots.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.